Sunday, July 4, 2010

How Do We Know Whether Something Is True Or False?

Before we can even begin to discuss what is “True” or “False” in the world, it is crucial to first have a valid method and conceptual approach that can be relied on to establish what is or isn’t true. In Philosophical terms, this challenge is part of what is called Epistemology. Now, I am by no means trying to present myself as a Philosopher, nor should this piece be seen as a rigorous treatise on the subject. I’m a “bottom line” type of person, and this short essay summarizes how I currently understand these issues, and how this provides a practical way of approaching these very complex matters.

Our bodies provides a wide variety of sensory input as we interact with the world, and the brain uses this to create a working model, or ‘construct’ of the world. Take the phenomenon of color, for example. Objects that we encounter have various physical properties, including the wavelengths of light which they reflect or absorb. Similarly, our eyes and visual system have their own set of physical properties, which are able to detect and respond to a limited portion of these wavelengths. Our experience of ‘color’ is a phenomenon produced by our brain as a result of this interaction between the physical properties of our environment and our brain. But ‘color’ does not have its own separate physical existence, out there in the “real” world; it is a phenomenon generated within the brain which provides useful information about the environment.

In this fashion, our brains takes the wide variety of sensory data it receives as we interact with the world, and constructs a mental image of the world, which we then perceive as “reality,” often not realizing how this model is created. In some respects, this is analogous to the ‘Virtual Reality’ generated by computers.

(Some modern ‘New Age‘ philosophies go even further than this, and say that we construct reality itself, and somehow draw the conclusion that the physical world is therefore “dependent” on us for its existence. There seems to be no basis for this rather rash position, and it seems, at least from the bottom-line, practical basis I use, that it is closer to the truth to recognize that the world exists in its own right, independent of having a human around to perceive it.)

So then, as we live and interact with the world, our brain constructs a working model of our environment, to help us successfully live and reproduce (the natural result of the evolutionary process underlying the development of life). But as incredible and useful as these mental constructs are, they can be readily fooled. Optical Illusions serve as excellent examples, which can be easily experienced by most people with intact visual systems. For my purposes here, it is helpful to distinguish between two types of illusions:



This is a fairly famous illusion, where one can either see an old woman with a large nose facing to the left toward you, or a more beautiful woman facing to the left away from you. You can see one or the other, and effortlessly switch back and forth between them. But which of these is “real” or “true”? The drawing itself is real and objective, but the pattern-seeking processes of our visual systems interpret this single reality ambiguously, in differing and mutually exclusive ways.

I have used this next illusion before, but find it quite compelling:



When we look at the Squares labeled A and B, we can see that obviously Square A is considerably darker than Square B. But it turns out that they are in fact the same exact shade. Because of the specific ways that our visual systems have evolved to interpret the light coming in through our eyes, and which will be accurate in most instances, there are situations where they will be fooled.
 
I had to prove this to myself by opening up the image in Photoshop. And yet despite having proven to myself that these square are the same shade, I am unable to convince my brain to actually see this “reality.” So this is an excellent example of where we will draw factually incorrect conclusions about the nature of reality based on our subjective experiences, and where “seeing is not believing.”
 
In a similar way, people of a religious mind-set typically rely on their subjective experiences, and on this basis, they draw conclusions about the world, how it came to be, how and why things happen in it, etc. What they fail to take into consideration, however, is that this particular kind of subjective experience is no more reliable than our sensory perceptions, in establishing what is true. In fact, it is likely much less reliable than ordinary sense perception, in that it depends more on the complex processing and interpretation taking place within the brain, and considerably less on direct physical sensory input.
 
Religious “testimonies,” which proclaim absolute truths about the world, however well-intentioned, however profound and self-evident they seem to the individual, are simply unreliable. This is the inevitable conclusion to be drawn when you begin to understand the basis for how the brain works, and how we generate working models of our environment. And this is further confirmed as one studies human religious experience throughout history, and sees the widely divergent, and typically mutually exclusive, conclusions that individuals draw about the world on the basis of their religious experiences.
 
So if we can’t implicitly rely on our own experiences, nor the information provided directly by our own senses, to differentiate between truth and error, how do we then make these critical distinctions?
 
This where Science comes into the picture. The value of the Scientific Method, and its accompanying logic, is that it enables us to transcend the limitations and subjectivity of our senses, of the idiosyncrasies of the information processing that takes place in our brains, to provide hard data, which can be independently tested and verified by multiple observers. It also provides a means of systematically uncovering and eliminating various forms of bias, and results in drawing conclusions solely on the basis of what the evidence will support.
 
It should be acknowledged that science does not produce “absolute” truth, and by definition, deals only in probabilities. But the crucial point here is that it provides a mechanism to progressively get closer to truth, and further from error. It is self-correcting by its very nature, and non-dogmatic (even though individual scientists themselves can be quite dogmatic at times), which is quite different from the absolute pronouncements of many religious individuals and institutions, where ‘revelation’ is alleged to demonstrate truths which cannot be challenged or changed.
 
At this point in my life, I see the use of the Scientific Method as the only legitimate way that we currently have available that will enable us to differentiate between truth and falsehood, and this is therefore the basis upon which I will live my life. I remain open-minded on basically any and all questions, including the “ultimate” ones, but require that any claim be backed up by evidence obtained using the rigorous methodology of genuine scientific inquiry.

8 comments:

  1. The blogger posted that the "value of the Scientific Method, and its accompanying logic, is that it enables us to transcend the limitations and subjectivity of our sense, of the idiosyncrasies of the information processing that takes place in our brains, to provide hard data, which can be independently tested and verified by multiple observers." How does one of the multiple observers know what s/he needs to independently tested and verify? How does someone who is applying the Scientific Method convey her/his "hard data" to independent observers so that they can verify it? ---KevinSim

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  2. KevinSim, I'm tempted to reply "by asking god, and bearing testimony of what the observers think god tells them.

    Seems as reliable a method as any, right?
    -- malkie

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    1. Kevin,

      I appreciate your taking the time to read this post.

      In regards to your questions, the peer-reviewed scientific journals are the primary means to communicate data between scientists. These articles will include explicit descriptions of testing conditions, methods of data collection, the instruments used to make measurements, the specific statistical tools used to analyse the data, etc.

      Articles thus gain the needed scrutiny from others in the field, to determine if the study itself was designed, conducted, and analysed properly, and to enable others to see if they can replicate the results.

      If this doesn't answer your questions, or get to the heart of what concerns you, please reply, and I'll try to resolve them as best I can.

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    2. Anonymous, this is just my point. There's no way for someone who is applying the Scientific Method to pass her/his results on to someone else who can replicate it, without using the very senses you say can be tricked and therefore you say shouldn't be trusted. ---KevinSim

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  3. TheExaminedLife,

    Thanks for getting back to me so quickly! You said, "the peer-reviewed scientific journals are the primary means to communicate data between scientists. These articles will include explicit descriptions of testing conditions, methods of data collection, the instruments used to make measurements, the specific statistical tools used to analyse the data, etc." So someone implementing the Scientific Method communicates with other researchers so they can replicate that someone's results, by way of the written word. Presumably the other researchers would read the written word. But in your main article you just got done explaining how we can't always trust our senses; doesn't it logically follow that the mentioned researchers can't trust what they read in the scientific journals? Why should a researcher waste time trying to replicate an application of the Scientific Method when, as far as s/he knows, the description of the original results might be an illusion, like the two illusions you noted in your original article?

    The answer is clearly that if the someone applying the Scientific Method is pretty much in control of the written word s/he is using to describe her/his results, and is being as precise in her/his wording as s/he can, that someone has a pretty good chance of communicating her/his results through the written word, despite the fact that it's possible to use the written word ambiguously, in such a way that people reading it can come to erroneous conclusions. Similarly, if someone else is in great control of the media s/he is using, like God, for example, and is being as precise in her/his wording as s/he can, we can be pretty sure that that someone will use that media, like experiencing an answer to prayer, to obtain the information from that someone that that someone wanted her/him to have. Granted, there is more objective evidence that the researchers who might replicate the experiment's results, exist, than there is evidence that God exists. But evidence that someone exists is just one reason for believing that someone exists; there are other completely valid reasons. ---KevinSim

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  4. I understand where you're coming from, Kevin, but I think you might be losing some important perspective.

    The underlying point here is that individual humans are subjective to a wide variety of biases and uncertainties in their perceptions. The value of the scientific method is that it is based on a systematic, concerted effort to identify those biases and uncertainties. And while they probably can't be 100% eliminated, great pain and effort is taken to minimize them as much as we can.

    The problem with the analogy you try to draw is that there is no spiritual 'peer review' process, no way of separating out any one individual's biases, expectations, and desires in their communications from an alleged deity. Even more importantly, this provides insight and a thorough explanation for why different people receive different "answers" from 'God.'

    This all gets back to the topic of the various threads on the MDB forum, where it was clearly demonstrated that different people from a wide variety of religious traditions base their typically mutually exclusive beliefs on their receiving answers to prayer. This then raises the question of how and why God would be telling different things to different people. And remember, these people are convinced, 'beyond the shadow of a doubt,' that their experiences are directly from God, and that their beliefs are absolutely true.

    You yourself have acknowledged that you were unable to answer the question of how and why God would give different people different answers. This apparent paradox is completely, 100% dissolved when one is able to recognize that the 'spiritual experiences' which all of these individuals base their beliefs on, are simply unreliable in identifying truth.

    And once one understands the inherent unreliability of these experiences, one then realizes that it would actually be **expected** that they would make contradictory claims. So there is no mystery here once the nature of these experiences is understood.

    Contrast this with the scientific method, which has a track record that is simply hard to comprehend, in providing working knowledge of the natural world, which has provided tools and technology that would appear 'miraculous' to anyone living prior to the last couple of hundred years.

    I appreciate your willingness to engage here. It took me a number of years to sort out my thinking on these matters, and the various books I've mentioned were of tremendous help. But I can state without hesitation that my thinking is now dramatically clearer and better defined than it ever was through the several decades I spent in the Church. Many of the hard to answer questions that my beliefs created have dissolved once I gained more insight on these matters.

    I retain an open mind, however, even on the question of whether or not some kind of God exists. I'm willing to go wherever solid, credible, verifiable evidence leads, however unlikely it might be. If you have time, you can look at a previous blog post entitled "Faith, Facts, Hope and Beliefs."

    http://tel-theexaminedlife.blogspot.com/2009/09/faith-belief-facts-hope.html

    I hope you're enjoying this exchange as much as I am!

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  5. TheExaminedLife posted:

    =The problem with the analogy you try to draw is that there is no spiritual
    ='peer review' process, no way of separating out any one individual's biases,
    =expectations, and desires in their communications from an alleged deity.

    Nor is there a peer review process to determine what the original experiment waa. Instead, it is simply assumed that the original experimenter was able to clearly describe the experiment s/he conducted so that the other researchers can attempt to replicate it. Similarly, people who believe in God assume that God is able to clearly describe Her/His will in their lives. If we treat the existence of a good God as a given, there's just as much reason to believe God conveyed Her/His message accurately as there is to believe the original experimenter conveyed her/his message accurately.

    =And remember, these people are convinced, 'beyond the shadow of a doubt,' that
    =their experiences are directly from God, and that their beliefs are absolutely
    =true.

    I'm sure that they are convinced, beyond the shadow of a doubt, that their experiences are directly from God, and that their beliefs are absolutely true.

    =You yourself have acknowledged that you were unable to answer the question of
    =how and why God would give different people different answers.

    There is a difference between not having an explanation of why people get different answers and there not being a potential explanation of why people get them. Can we know for sure that a good God would feel obligated to answer a yes or no question when God knows the asker wants one answer more than the other? I really see no reason why God would answer a question asked with confirmation bias.

    Let me be clear; I am not declaring that it is my opinion that each of the people who asked God if her/his faith was true was asking with confirmation bias; rather I am saying that it is possible that that is an explanation for why different people got what they thought were different answers, and that therefore the evidence that has been gathered so far is insufficient to conclude that God has been giving different answers to different people. If someone asks God a yes or no question without a bias in favor of either of those answers, I maintain that God will give that someone an answer; if someone asks with a bias in favor of either of those answers, there is no reason to believe God will do anything more than let that someone's bias answer the question for her/him.

    =I retain an open mind, however, even on the question of whether or not some
    =kind of God exists. I'm willing to go wherever solid, credible, verifiable
    =evidence leads, however unlikely it might be.

    I am glad to hear you are retaining an open mind on this question. But it's clear to me that we have different points of emphasis. In your opinion God is required to give you "solid, credible, verifiable evidence" to convince you that God exists. I on the other hand take the existence of God as a given, and need no such evidence. My belief in the existence of a good God is kind of like your belief in the existence of life on another planet, that you mentioned in your other article. There is no evidence for or against life on another planet, so why not believe there is life there? Similarly, as far as I can tell the chances that a good God is in control of the universe are 50-50, so why not believe that a good God is in control of it?

    ---KevinSim

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  6. I think we're starting to go around in circles, Kevin.

    Here's the bottom line for me:

    1. The foundational claims of the LDS Church involving the Book of Mormon, the Book of Abraham, etc. are all legitimate subjects for scientific inquiry. And in each and every case, the evidence overwhelmingly demonstrates those claims to be false. On this basis, I am able to conclude that the Church is not what it claims to be, and can set it aside and move forward.

    2. The only method I am aware of that can enable us to differentiate between things likely to be true, and those likely to be false, is the Scientific Method. This process is by its nature self-correcting, whereby we are able to get closer and closer to what is true by progressively eliminating that which is false. And it is the evidence that drives this process, not any one individuals' preferences, biases, beliefs, etc. The unprecedented expansion in human knowledge over the last few centuries provides a compelling demonstration of the fruitfulness of this approach.

    3. The existence of some type of God is a more complex question. But to comment on one of your points, just because there are 2 possibilities (God exists or God doesn't exist), that doesn't at all mean that either of those possibilities has a 50% chance of being true. That's just not the way probability works. Victor Stenger has a most interesting book (God, The Failed Hypothesis), which explores the fact that there is simply no evidence of God's interaction with the natural world, even in areas where there should be evidence, if God did exist. So based on the available evidence, I think the probability of God's existence would be incredibly low, and certainly nowhere near a 50-50 proposition.

    4. You ask "so why not believe that a good God is in control of it?"

    a. One way to respond to this is "why should I believe that"? Why don't you believe in Unicorns? Dragons? Santa Claus or the Tooth Fairy? One needs to rely on evidence to determine what even might exist; otherwise you have no reason not to believe in anything and everything others claim, no matter how unlikely.

    b. A second response to this question would be to ask just which God would you have me believe in? The Christian God? If so, which Christian God? The God of Islam? Judaism? Krishna? Buddha? Your question is, in a sense, a variation on 'Pascal's Wager.' You can google it, but many have provided thorough refutations of this approach.

    5. Also, you state "I on the other hand take the existence of God as a given, and need no such evidence." To me, there is no justification for such a stance. Certainly, one has the liberty to believe anything one desires, but in the absence of evidence, there is no reason for others to take such a position seriously.

    6. Lastly, and most importantly, it isn't clear to me if you are actually searching and questioning, and looking for a clearer understanding, or if your mind is basically made up on the various issues we've discussed. If your mind is made up, then honestly, I don't think there is any purpose in continuing the conversation. Personally, I am not interested in an intellectual debate. But if someone is wanting to increase their understanding of these issues, I'll spend as much time as needed to help as best I can.

    Don


    P.S. I wasn't sufficiently clear in the other post that you refer to, where you gained the impression that I believe that life exists on other worlds. My intent in that paragraph was just to demonstrate the difference between believing something and factually demonstrating something. I should have stated that while a person can *believe* life exists on other worlds, in the absence of evidence for or against it, one can *demonstrate* that life is present on earth. In fact, I have no 'beliefs' as such whatsoever, but simply rely on the available evidence to try to determine what might or might not be true.

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